Morning report

Sacrifices To Be Made

The Fed’s rate cut did not come without downside, as the Chair Jerome Powell indicated it now forecasts less than two total rate cuts to occur in 2025. While late-afternoon trading on Wednesday signalled strong distate from the market, on Thursday, Wall Street ticked modestly upwards. European stocks took a steep fall, following Wall Street's lead on Wednesday.

Fed rate cut decision triggers buying opportunity

After late Wednesday afternoon's post-Fed meeting sell-off, the Dow, Nasdaq, and the S&P 500 all rose +0.4% on Thursday. However, investors traded particularly cautiously, with volumes light as the implications of a slower-than-anticipated rate cutting cycle was contemplated. Megacaps Nvidia and Amazon.com added +3.2% and +2.1% respectively, gaining back some ground. Micron plunged -15.5% after it released its forecast of quarterly revenue and profit below market estimates. In treasury notes, the US 2-year treasury bond yield fell -3 bps to 4.323%, while its 10-year counterpart leapt +9 bps to 4.592%, reflecting investors revising their rate-cutting expectations.

European benchmarks take big hit following Fed rates decision

European stocks took negative cues from the Fed’s rate cut decision as benchmarks took steep drops overnight. The pan-European Stoxx 600 fell -1.5% while the UK’s FTSE 100 plunged -1.1%. The Bank of England, as widely expected, also hit pause on cutting its policy rate — citing stubborn inflation as the reason it cannot cut rates too rapidly. SoftwareOne skyrocketed +7.0% after it announced its purchase of Crayon Group Holding. Stellantis sunk -1.6% after it reported a fall in sales last month. Renault jumped +1.2% after reports emerged that Foxconn is in talks with the carmaker regarding the possibility to sell its stake in the Japanese automaker.

Australia, New Zealand, and China all book losses

The ASX 200 plunged -1.7% after the Fed’s decision to reduce the number of rate cuts in 2025 by half. Woodside Energy sunk -1.9% after it agreed to an asset swap with Chevron that freed up US$400m in cash. Transurban added +0.1% after it reaffirmed its FY25 distribution guidance. Across the ditch, the NZX 50 also tanked -0.9%. In Asia, China’s CSI 300 was the only benchmark in the green, inching +0.1% upward. Korea’s Kospi led losses, falling -2.0%, followed by the Nikkei 225 with -0.7%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped -0.6%, and the Shanghai Composite cut -0.4%.

Commodities mixed, WTI Crude and Iron Ore down, Gold up

WTI Crude fell -0.8% to US$70.02/bbl, Iron Ore down -0.8% to US$104.73/MT, and Gold​​​​​​​ added +0.3% to US$2,595.04/oz.